The unconventional 2016 election could be shifting swing states as Democratic presidential nominee Clinton led opponent Donald Trump by double digits in Pennsylvania, according to a Susquehanna Polling and Research survey released Monday.
The poll showed Clinton 10 points ahead of the Republican nominee, 47-37. That’s the second double-digit lead for Clinton in four days, as a Franklin & Marshall poll released Thursday showed Clinton with an 11-point lead in the Keystone State, 49-38.
Susquehanna Polling and Research has not produced any recent Pennsylvania general election polls for comparison.
When third-party candidates were included in the Susquehanna poll, Clinton led Trump by nine points, 46-37, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3 percent.
The poll, conducted by Susquehanna Polling and Research for WHTM-TV and ABC27 News, was conducted July 31-Aug. 4 via telephone. The survey included 772 likely Pennsylvania general election voters, and had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
Keep it up. 538 has it at 90.8 - 9.2 with Georgia at 65.3% blue.
Yes, Georgia.
Don’t believe it. All of Trump’s millions of followers in PA just drove over to Detroit to hear his speech today. (Or maybe they just didn’t pay their phone bills, so they couldn’t answer the poll.)
Unskew the polls!
Yes, that’s the “now-cast”. I advise focusing on the “polls-plus” because the election isn’t today and, not least, to avoid anyone on our side becoming lackadaisical. And there we see that HRC’s chances in November are 75.8% and Georgia is still very much pink (31.1%).
Lots of work to do in the next three months. No overconfidence: remember Brexit.
And they’ve got McGinty up by two over Toomey. Within margin of error, but not good if you’re the incumbent.
Maybe it’s time for a passive-aggressive Trump endorsement for Toomey…where he reads it like it’s a hostage note?
Yes, certainly. I’ll submit that this is far from a typical election though, and historical data might not be terribly valid. When was the last time you saw members of the GOP turning against their nominee?