Hilllary Clinton comes out 10 points ahead of Donald Trump nationally in a new poll from CNBC.
Clinton leads a head-to-head match, 47-37, against the businessman.
When third party candidates are included in the race, Clinton leads by nine points, 43-34, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.
The former Secretary of State’s advantage over Trump has increased since CNBC last polled the general election in June. At that time, she led by five points in a head-to-head match, an advantage she’s doubled to 10 points today.
Recent polls show her with similar leads over Trump. Among the national polls released Wednesday, Clinton led +13 in an AP/GfK poll, +10 in a Suffolk University/USA Today poll, and +5 in a Fox News poll.
The CNBC poll was conducted in a joint effort by Democratic pollster Hart Research and Republican pollster Public Opinion Strategies. The poll surveyed 804 likely voters nationwide and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the general election shows Clinton leading Trump, 49.1 to 40.3.
Polls are all over the place. I assume this is because of differences in likely voter/turnout models. Any good article on this topic?
Hold on. The corporate media has the race tightening…it’s going to be a nail biter! According to corporate media that is.
Joe Scar was talking this morning about the trend line showing the polls tightening. His particular trend line is the one called “wishful thinking.”
I put my faith in the Clinton campaign internal polls which would manifest themselves in pivots to stop the down ballot campaigning. Ditching the down ballot hasn’t happened yet. It benefits us to have the “horse race” talk on media. Helps with GOTV and keeps us on our toes.
Most of the polling difference has to do with turnout models, including especially demographics. The ABC tracker that now shows Clinton up 6 has 74% of the electorate as white. That is unlikely, especially as 72% of 2012 voters were white and Clinton has ramped up Latino registration and voting dramatically.