Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump decreased in the NBC News/Survey Monkey weekly tracking poll for the second week in a row, according to the poll released Tuesday morning.
Clinton now leads Trump by three points, 47-44, down from a five point lead over Trump in last week’s tracking poll.
Clinton’s drop in the poll coincides with the FBI’s release of its findings from the probe into the former secretary of state’s email use. The tracking poll found that 82 percent of voters thought it was inappropriate for Clinton to use the private server and 56 disagreed with the FBI’s recommendation not to prosecute Clinton.
NBC News/Survey Monkey surveyed 7,869 adults who say they are registered voters online July 4-10 with a margin of error plus or minus 1.4 percentage points.
Seriously, TPM? Are you really going to push the results of ONE poll as signs of doom? I mean, really? Is this going to become a trend?
That’s so very disingenuous, cheap, and weak of you. Folks who follow politics know that outlier polls are one-a-dozen, and it’s the aggregation of polls, and the trends those aggregators show, that matter.
To even pretend one individual poll truly matters without taking others into consideration is, well, stupid. You’re better than this.
Here, I’ll make it easy for folks to find actual credible and useful data on current polls/trends:
Poll Aggregator #1: Clinton +4.5
Poll Aggregator #2: Clinton +5.5
Poll Aggregator #3: Clinton +4.7
Oh, and to top it all off, Survey Monkey has a rating of C- in Nate Silver’s Fivethirtyeight. That’s a LOWER rating than Rasmussen has, which I’ll note, currently is pumping out almost daily polls with Trump ahead by 2 points (likely to skew the aggregators). That’s pretty pathetic.
Of course the poll shows a decline after the disastrous FBI report. The good news is that it’s not much of a decline and we are still four months out.
Polls are like politicians - they lie .
That also means House Republicans have every incentive to keep it alive till elections.
And was it after the Dallas Police shootings?