Poll: Clinton Holds Large Lead Over Trump In Critical Pennsylvania

Democratic presidential candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton speaks during a get out the vote organizing event at Great Bay Community College on February 6, 2016 in Portsmouth, NH, USA. With less than ... Democratic presidential candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton speaks during a get out the vote organizing event at Great Bay Community College on February 6, 2016 in Portsmouth, NH, USA. With less than one week to go before the New Hampshire primaries, Hillary Clinton continues to campaign throughout the state. Photo by Dennis Van Tine/Sipa USA MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

If Donald Trump’s road to the White House runs through Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida, as is widely believed, then the latest poll of potential swing state Pennsylvania represents a major roadblock.

The new poll, released Thursday by Franklin & Marshall, shows Clinton ahead of Trump among likely Pennsylvania voters, 49-38. It was conducted in the four days following the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia.

Among 661 registered voters poll, Clinton’s lead expands to 13 points, 48-35, according to the poll.

The last Franklin & Marshall in March showed Clinton with a similar lead among registered voter, 46-33.

This poll was conducted July 29-August 1 by Franklin & Marshall over the phone and online, based on respondents’ preference. The poll sampled 661 registered Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent, and 389 likely Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 6.3 percent.

Latest Polltracker
39
Show Comments

Notable Replies

  1. I don’t think the yuge wall Hillary is putting in front of Donnie is the one he had in mind?

  2. 538 has HRC’s chance of winning if election held now at 91%!

  3. Colorado, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire now showing large HRC leads. If the leads hold for a week or so, they should set up like concrete.

    Concrete galoshes for Drumpf.

  4. I’m guessing Manafort has a full range of sizes available, given his clientele.

  5. yeah! and i’m talking made in america concrete.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

33 more replies

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for victorabrahamsen Avatar for ajaykalra Avatar for pickwick Avatar for imkmu3 Avatar for humpback Avatar for trippin Avatar for thepsyker Avatar for psyclone Avatar for daveyjones64 Avatar for alyoshakaramazov1 Avatar for baystater Avatar for 538liberal Avatar for dickweed Avatar for ronbyers Avatar for azjude Avatar for cpl593h Avatar for morrigan_2575 Avatar for edhedh Avatar for asturcot Avatar for rptwiz Avatar for greysea Avatar for yail_bloor Avatar for maximus

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: