Clinton Holds A Seven-Point Lead Over Trump In National Poll

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton speaks to local residents during a campaign stop at the Iowa City Public Library, Tuesday, July 7, 2015, in Iowa City, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
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Hillary Clinton stands seven points ahead of Donald Trump among likely national voters, according to a new Suffolk University/USA Today poll.

Clinton leads, 48-41, when facing Trump in the head-to-head general election ballot. When third party candidates are added, Clinton still leads by seven points, 42-35, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 9 percent and Green Party’s Jill Stein at 4 percent.

The last Suffolk University/USA Today poll conducted at the end of June, showed Clinton up by six points, 46-40. In the four-way poll, she led, 39-35, with Johnson at 8 percent and Stein at 3 percent.

The Suffolk University/USA Today poll was conducted Aug. 24-29, surveying 1,000 likely general election voters over the phone. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus three percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump, 44.6 to 41.5.

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Notable Replies

  1. It will always be a “horserace” as long as they include ridiculous polls like Fox News, Rasmussen and USC Donsife in the aggregates.

  2. And don’t forget our new Pink Chiffon Firewall (Blue Pantsuit Firewall?):

         Pennsylvania, Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire = 273 electoral votes
    

    It’s as tough as steel and a mile high.

  3. It didn’t say in the methodology if they included cell phones but if they didn’t that would tend to benefit HO. So yay. Long time to go yet but this is good stuff.

  4. Avatar for elrod elrod says:

    Fox News actually has Hillary up six still. Rasmussen is the GOP outler. And the USC poll is not a real poll and shouldn’t be aggregated with the others. It’s an extended focus group exercise and is interesting for what it does, but it is too different than other polls to be apples to apples.

  5. Beyond the who’s-winning, and the spread, note Trump’s limit–in a race where all candidates are included, barely one-in-three voters go for him. Sad.

    Worse, apocalyptic for the GOP.

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