Clinton Holds Comfortable Lead Over Trump In National Tracking Poll

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton speaks at the 107th National Association for the Advancement of Colored People annual convention at the Duke Energy Convention Center in Cincinnati, Monday, July 18, ... Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton speaks at the 107th National Association for the Advancement of Colored People annual convention at the Duke Energy Convention Center in Cincinnati, Monday, July 18, 2016. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik) MORE LESS

August 16, 2016 6:43 a.m.

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Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump dropped by just one point in the NBC News/Survey Monkey weekly national tracking poll released Tuesday morning.

Clinton leads Trump by 9 points, 50-41, among registered voters, down slightly from her 51-41 lead in last week’s tracking poll.

When third party candidates are added to the question, Clinton leads Trump by six points. The results were Clinton 43, Trump 37, Libertarian Gary Johnson 11, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein 4.

TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump nationally 43 to 37.8.

NBC/Survey Monkey surveyed 15,179 registered voters August 8-14 online with a margin of error plus or minus 1.2 percentage points.

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Caitlin Mac Neal (@caitlinmacneal) is TPM's special projects editor, based in Washington, D.C. She first came to TPM as a newswriter, and has written for HuffPost, the Sunlight Foundation and Slate.

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michaelryerson says:

August 16, 2016

The use of the word ‘comfortable’ makes me uncomfortable.
zsak says:

August 16, 2016

Nate Silver’s opinion

FiveThirtyEight – 15 Aug 16

Election Update: 10 Big Questions About The Election, Revisited

Want these election updates emailed to you right when they’re published? Sign up here. There weren’t a lot of polls published over the weekend, but the ones we …

What would keep me up late at night if I were Clinton?

At some point, complacency could become an issue, although it’s probably too early to worry about that. In the nearer term, I’d be worried that the race has been so volatile. Sure, things look good now. But conditions in May, and then again in July, produced a close race. Is there anything inherently preventing those conditions from arising again? I suppose I’d wonder about what Wikileaks has up its sleeve and what sort of geopolitical events could work in Trump’s favor.
darcy says:

August 16, 2016

Don’t let me down
Don’t let me down

Don’t let me down
Don’t let me down

Any news today from the FBI?
Just askin’
hehe
epirali says:

August 16, 2016

I think the “news” you are looking for should arrive by Jan 2025 or so…
skippykaos says:

August 16, 2016

I’m going to guess that Clinton’s October surprise is going to be a full revelation of Trumps Russian connection and she is sitting on it for now. I know she has something planned. Her campaign is too well honed not to have several strategies lined up.

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