Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton widened her lead over rival Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) among Democrats in Iowa, according to a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register poll released Monday.
Clinton had 48 percent support from likely Democratic caucusgoers in the survey, while Sanders had 39 percent support and former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley had 4 percent support.
In the same poll in October, Clinton led Sanders 42 percent to 37 percent.
The poll was conducted by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines from Dec. 7-10 by phone among 404 likely Democratic caucusgoers. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
So much for that myth of inevitability; 48% of Democrats? Not even half?
Thank God for polling, else I would forget that Clinton and Sanders are running.
The undecideds in Iowa are breaking in her favor substantially. She’ll be over 50% there by the time of the caucus.
This poll says this. This poll says that.
At least this one was a poll that dealt with just Iowa state voters I guess. Its always easier for the punditocracy and bloviators to glob-on and gab about polls and be lazy about horserace politics, than it is to actually discuss the candidates policies and thereby educate the public. That used to be journalisms #1 job when polling was not the Be-all and End-all. But, it is what it is…and its not about to change anytime soon unfortunately.
I suspect at this point though, you have a better chance of winning the lotto than relying on most of these polls, even when I see they lean towards something I may very well favor.
That’s always been true. I hope for better from TPM, and sometimes I get it, but even here it’s always more about the horserace than the issues. Except now it’s mostly about Trump with Democratic candidates getting mentioned from time to time.
The lesson out of being forced to read about the horserace rather than the issues is that, sadly, issues really don’t play the decisive roll in elections.
One can always hope an issue slips in here and there when they try to explain the polls.