We Have A Trend: Third Poll Shows Carson Beating Trump In Iowa

Republican presidential candidate Dr. Ben Carson speaks outside the Alpha Gamma Rho fraternity at Iowa State University during a campaign stop, Saturday, Oct. 24, 2015, in Ames, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
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A third poll released in the past five days put retired pediatric neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson on top in Iowa.

Carson now leads celebrity tycoon Donald Trump by 14 points in a Monmouth University poll of likely Iowa Republican caucusgoers released Monday.

Carson polled at 32 percent, followed by Trump at 18 percent. In Monmouth’s August poll, both men were tied at 23 percent.

Among evangelical Christian voters polled, Carson beat Trump 36 to 18, which increased his 6-point advantage from this demographic in August.

A Quinnipiac poll released Thursday had Carson leading Trump 28 to 20 points. A Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register poll put Carson ahead 28 to 19 points.

Sens. Ted Cruz (TX) and Marco Rubio (FL) were the only other candidates to poll in double digits (10 percent) among Republicans in the Monmouth poll.

The next Republican debate is scheduled for Wednesday in Boulder, Colorado on CNBC.

The poll was conducted among 400 voters likely to attend the Iowa Republican caucus from Ot. 22 to 25 by telephone. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.

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Notable Replies

  1. Ben Carson called for “groupthink” to combat the looming funding crisis…

    I think Dr. Carson don’t know what “groupthink” means - it is not something you want, “The Bay of Pigs” fiasco was a prominent example of what problems Groupthink can cause…

    Edit: Joni Ernst, the pig castrater, was elected in Iowa so not surprising, apparently they like surgeons…

  2. This poll isn’t particularly surprising. Should it hold up, it would pretty much fall in line with the results we’ve seen from Iowa Republicans over the last several cycles. They pick the most theocratic, ultra conservative among the field, and that person then goes on to lose the nomination.

    The interesting thing no one is really talking about is what happens if they’re right and Trump loses, but Carson goes on to win. How are they ANY better off with Carson as the candidate? I’d argue he’s even worse, more damaging to their electoral chances and to down ballot races, than Trump.

  3. Avatar for imkmu3 imkmu3 says:

    Trend! Carson trending! Carson trending UP! Trump tended down! Lindsey not trending at all!

    You know, of all the words that have come into popular use, trending is right there at the top.

  4. "Among evangelical Christian voters polled, Carson beat Trump 36 to 18…

    Trump better start eating more of the little crackers.
  5. Whoo-hoo Dr. Crazy…Ride the Rainbow!! There’s gotta be a pot of gold at the end of your ride…

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