New Poll: Clinton Beats Trump In Seven Battleground States

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton speaks at a Digital Content Creators Town Hall at the Neuehouse Hollywood in Los Angeles, Tuesday, June 28, 2016. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
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Democrat Hillary Clinton has more support than Republican Donald Trump among registered voters in seven battleground states, according to a Ballotpedia survey released Wednesday.

Clinton had her largest lead—17 points—over Trump in Michigan, where the survey, conducted along with Evolving Strategies, found she had the support of 50 percent of registered voters to Trump’s 33 percent.

The closest race among the states surveyed was Iowa, where Clinton had 45 percent support and Trump had 41 percent for a Clinton lead of four points.

Among Florida voters, Clinton had 51 percent support and Trump had 37 percent; in North Carolina, Clinton had 48 percent support and Trump had 38 percent; in Ohio, Clinton had 46 percent support and Trump had 37 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton had 49 percent support and Trump had 35 percent, while among Virginia voters Clinton had 45 percent support to Trump’s 38 percent.

The poll surveyed registered voters by phone from June 10-22. The poll surveyed 596 Florida voters with a margin of error of 4 percentage points; 601 Iowa voters with a margin of error of 4 percentage points; 612 Michigan voters with a margin of error 4 percentage points; 603 North Carolina voters with a margin of error of 4 percentage points; 617 Ohio voters with a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points; 601 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of 4 percentage points; and 612 Virginia voters with a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

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Notable Replies

  1. It would be nice to think Trump will be the first major party candidate to get zero electoral votes.

    Never been more deserved.

  2. Holy shit. This is a catastrophe for Trump that renders national polls even more irrelevant than usual. The headline ought to be:

    “Orange Man Turns Purple States Deep Blue!”

    This makes it clear that to whatever extent Trump is polling even in the ballpark with Hillary nationally, his share is inflated, even more than usual, by a run-up of his numbers by SWP’s in the deep red crazy states. Not but what I wouldn’t love to see some polling in the deep red crazy states, but who the hell would waste money polling there (or in the deep blues) at this point?

    My only real concern would be that with numbers like this, pollsters will start writing off some of the battlegrounds too early, stop polling there and miss important movement. On the up-side, if she inherited Obama’s operation, Hillary won’t.

  3. It would be an historic repudiation, but he’ll get Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Kansas, and Oklahoma no matter what.

  4. Trump: I only trust Trump Polls, LLC. I am almost at 100%, winning all states and Scotland. I guarantee you that its very fair polling outfit

  5. Avatar for lew lew says:

    But, but, but I just saw a headline in the NY Times (Play organ music) where Drumpf and Hilary were, gulp, tied!

    Could it be that the major media outlets, like the NY times, advertise such headlines in a cynical attempt to keep this as some sort of “horse-race”; thereby advocating their responsibility of comparing and contrasting the qualifications of the major candidates because if they (horror!) did so, no one with an IQ above their shoe size would vote for Frankentrump?

    Naaaaah.

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