Kasich Surges In New Hampshire, Trailing Trump By Just 7 Points

In this Nov. 13, 2015, file photo Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses the Sunshine Summit in Orlando, Fla. The Republican outsiders have been getting a pass on their limited grasp of foreign poli... In this Nov. 13, 2015, file photo Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses the Sunshine Summit in Orlando, Fla. The Republican outsiders have been getting a pass on their limited grasp of foreign policy in the presidential race. That may be ending. Republicans favored Trump even after he acknowledged not knowing the difference between Hamas and Hezbollah. And they didn’t fret over Ben Carson’s mistaken belief that the Chinese are involved in the Syrian conflict. Yet Friday’s terrorist attacks in Paris have sparked an urgent focus on national security that will test the appeal of the outsiders like nothing they’ve faced so far. (AP Photo/John Raoux) MORE LESS
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Former reality-television star Donald Trump remains the Republican frontrunner in New Hampshire, followed by a surging Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) in second place, according to an American Research Group poll released Tuesday.

The ARG poll showed Trump in the lead with 27 percent, followed by Kasich at 20 percent. This represents a significant boost for Kasich, who was trailing Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) 13-14 percent in ARG’s December poll and tied with him in the same survey earlier this month at 14 percent. Rubio lost ground as Kasich gained in the poll, falling from 14 percent to 10 percent between ARG’s two January surveys.

There has also been an increase in support, in absolute terms, for Trump, whose support has increased from 21 percent in December and 25 percent earlier this month.

The latest poll serves to emphasize how differently from the national contest the New Hampshire GOP primary is unfolding. Both nationally and in Iowa, the central drama of the race has become the competition between longtime frontrunner Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), whose support has surged since mid-December. However, this ARG poll showed support for Cruz at 9 percent, tied with the earlier January poll and down from 10 percent in December.

The ARG telephone poll, conducted from Jan. 15-18, surveyed 600 New Hampshire Republicans and independents. It had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

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Notable Replies

  1. “Surging” is a gerund that never comes to my mind when I condider John Kasich. Boring on the other hand…,

  2. Both right wingers so it hardly matters.

  3. Making more popcorn now.

  4. Kasich Surges In New Hampshire, Trailing Trump By Just 7 Points

    Thus highlighting the dichotomy that is NH.

    We are part Northeast in being more liberal (southern part along Mass border) and part conservative, gun loving “live free or die” types (less populous parts of the state).

    Kasich could benefit from the independents that have Clinton fatigue and consider Bernie too liberal, thus they pull a Repub primary ballot on the 9th of February…

  5. Boring in this GOP primary year is anyone who isn’t trying to egg on rightwing anger and fantasies. Which may make him attractive to more sober and serious Republican minds, assuming there are more of them than we think.

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