Poll: Trump Took Massive Lead In GOP Primary Before McCain Comments

In this July 18, 2015 photo, Republican presidential candidate, real estate mogul Donald Trump, speaks at the Family Leadership Summit in Ames, Iowa, Saturday, July 18, 2015. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik)
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A poll released on Monday showed that real estate mogul Donald Trump had skyrocketed to a commanding lead nationally in the Republican presidential field prior to his criticism of Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) military career.

The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll found that Trump topped the crowded Republican field with 24 percent support among Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents.

While those numbers were the best of all Republican candidates, the poll showed support for him may have dropped following his disparaging comments about McCain’s time as a prisoner of war. McCain, a Navy veteran and longtime Republican senator, was a POW in Vietnam for five years.

Most of the telephone interviews took place before Trump’s comments were reported on Saturday, but according to the Washington Post, the decline in support was statistically significant. It’s unclear how much his criticism of McCain will negatively affect the Trump campaign.

The poll showed Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker had 13 percent support, following by Jeb Bush at 12 percent. The nearly dozen other candidates polled in the single digits.

The Washington Post/ABC News poll was conducted by Langer Research Associates with 1,002 people via landline and cellphone in English and Spanish from July 16 to 19. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

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Notable Replies

  1. Ted Cruz is still ardently defending Trump, hoping to capitalize from ferret-head’s current ranking in the polls.

    Excellent. So when Donald eventually sinks under the bombastic weight of his inflammory rhetoric, he can take Teddy with him on his one-way trip to political irrelevance.

  2. mas·sive
    ˈmasiv/Submit
    adjective
    1.
    large and heavy or solid.
    “a massive rampart of stone”
    synonyms: huge, enormous, vast, immense, large, big, mighty, great, colossal, tremendous, prodigious, gigantic, gargantuan, mammoth, monstrous, monumental, giant, towering, elephantine, mountainous, titanic

    So, to answer your query; no…not so much. More like a “tidy bit” of a lead

  3. When the loudest and least-capable candidate leads the pack, it says more about the GOP electorate’s perception of the rest of the field than it does about Trump’s viability in the long run.

  4. What the WAPO article says is:

    Although the sample size for the final day was small, the decline was statistically significant. Still, it is difficult to predict what could happen to Trump’s support in the coming days and weeks as the controversy plays out.

    In other words, it might be a statistical error due to a small sample size and basically we don’t know shit, but because it’s Trump and it’s great click bait, we’ll speculate anyway.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

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