Tillis Wins GOP Senate Nomination In North Carolina

Republican senatorial candidate Thom Tillis responds during a televised debate at WRAL television studios in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, April 23, 2014. (AP Photo/Gerry Broome, Pool)
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WASHINGTON (AP) — North Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis
captured the nomination to oppose imperiled Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan
Tuesday night, overcoming anti-establishment rivals by a comfortable
margin in the first of a springtime spate of primaries testing the
strength of a tea party movement that first rocked the Republican party
four years ago.

In Ohio, Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald won the Democratic nomination to challenge Gov. John Kasich in the fall, while U.S. House Speaker John Boehner, a Republican, rolled to re-nomination for another term in Congress, his 13th.

On a night that was kind to Republican incumbents, GOP Rep. Susan Brooks of Indiana easily fended off a challenge from the right, rolling up 75 percent of the votes in a three-way race. First-term Rep. David Joyce of Ohio had a slightly
tougher time but was running well ahead of his tea party rival.

In North Carolina, Tillis was winning about 48 percent of the vote with ballots counted in 46 percent of the state’s precincts. He needed 40 percent to avoid a July runoff. Greg Brannon was running second and Mark Harris third.

Also in North Carolina, former “American Idol” runner-up Clay Aiken seized a
narrow lead as he sought the Democratic nomination to oppose Republican
Rep. Renee Ellmers in the fall. A Democratic runoff was possible.

Elsewhere in the state, Rep. Walter Jones, an anti-war Republican, was running ahead of his challenger.

Democratic State Rep. Alma Adams was comfortably ahead for a pair of nominations at the same time: in a special election to fill the unexpired term of
former Rep. Mel Watt, and also for the November ballot in the heavily
Democratic district.

Hagan, whom Republicans have made a top target in their drive to win a Senate majority in the fall, won renomination over a pair of rivals with about 80 percent of the primary vote.

Tuesday marked the beginning of the political primary season
in earnest, and over the next several months Republicans will hold
numerous contests featuring incumbents or other establishment figures
against tea party challengers. Some of the races are in states where the
identity of the party’s candidate might mean the difference between
victory and defeat this fall, such as Alaska, Georgia, Iowa and
Kentucky. In other areas, it will matter less, including Kansas,
Mississippi, Nebraska, Oklahoma and South Carolina.

In the marquee race of the night, Tillis and a pair of political novices, newcomers, obstetrician Greg Brannon and Mark Harris, a Baptist pastor, led a field of eight candidates vying for the right to take on Hagan, a top target for Republicans angling for control of the Senate in the fall.

Tillis ran as a conservative with the support of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce,
the National Right to Life Committee and former presidential candidate
Mitt Romney, while Brannon had the backing of Sen Rand Paul of Kentucky,
a tea party favorite. Harris countered with former Arkansas Gov. Mike
Huckabee, whose popularity with evangelical voters briefly made him a
force in the race for the 2008 presidential nomination.

State law set a runoff for July 15 if no candidate gained more than 40 percent of
the vote, an outcome party officials said they hoped to avoid in order
to maximize their chances against Hagan. One voter, Debbye Krueger of
Salisbury, North Carolina, said, “I think the tea party has pulled the
right so far to right that they’re falling off the cliff. And, anybody
who’s moderate or uses any ounce of decorum to make a logical decision
not based on political affiliation is demonized.”

Dan Coutcher, a chaplain at North Carolina State University, said he voted for Brannon, who he said had delivered his grandchildren. “I like him more than I
like Tillis. I tend to not like long-term career politicians,” he said.

Boehner’s nomination to a 13th term in the House was never in doubt, despite
challenges from tea party adherents J.D. Winteregg and Eric Gurr. His
seat is safely Republican for the general election, as well, and it will
be up to fellow Republicans — assuming they hold their House majority —
to decide if the 64-year-old Ohioan serves a third term as speaker.

Kasich was unopposed for nomination to a second term as governor, a race
viewed as a possible prelude to a 2016 run for the White House.

Fitzgerald wasted no time in pocketing his primary triumph, blasting out an email
that declared, “As of tonight, this race is officially between me and
Gov. Kasich.”

North Carolina hosted the most closely watched race of the night, at the intersection of the tea party’s long-running challenge to the Republican establishment and the GOP campaign to gain the six seats needed to win a Senate majority in the fall.

Establishment figures made little or no secret of their desire for Tillis
to prevail, fearful that any other challenger to Hagan could mean a
replay of 2010 and 2012, when Republicans lost winnable Senate races in
Nevada, Indiana and Missouri.

“You can’t defeat Kay Hagan with a factionalized (party),” Tillis said at one point, making a case for his own nomination.

Paul, whose upset victory in a 2010 primary in Kentucky served notice that
the tea party was a force to be reckoned with, hailed Brannon. The
first-time candidate is “a true believer and we need true believers in
Congress,” Paul said as Brannon battled the establishment.

For his part, Harris damned Tillis with the faintest of praise, saying Monday the state assembly leader is the man to support “if you want an establishment … style of United States senator, someone that is going to work in the system.”

Hagan is among the Democrats’ most vulnerable incumbents in a campaign season full of them, a first-term lawmaker in a state that is ground zero in a
national debate over the health care law that she and the Democrats
voted into existence four years ago. Americans for Prosperity, a group
funded by the billionaire Koch brothers, has run about $7 million worth
of television commercials criticizing Hagan for her position on the law.

If Republican Party leaders preferred Tillis, Democrats seemed to want anyone but him, or at a minimum, a runoff that would require Republicans to battle one another into midsummer.

Hagan’s campaign recently sent out a mass mailing that said Tillis
had once called Obamacare a “great idea” — an obvious attempt to
influence the outcome of the primary by holding down his support among
conservative primary voters. Tillis favors the law’s repeal, and in fact called the law “a great idea that can’t be paid for.”

An outside group dedicated to electing Democrats ran a television ad assailing Tillis over severance packages that went to two members of his legislative
staff said to have had inappropriate relationships with lobbyists.

___

Associated Press writer Gary Robertson and AP television news reporter Alex Sanz in North Carolina contributed to this story.

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Notable Replies

  1. Ah. This is the guy that wants poor people to fight over the last stale piece of bread.
    How nice.

  2. “Imperiled”? Exaggerate much? The polls I’ve seen show Hagan doing fairly well, and exhibiting smarts and spine on the campaign trail. Plus Tillis seems to bring a lot of baggage to the race.

    A tough race – quite probably. But can we save the drama for something real with some basis in fact rather than a narrative you’d like to push?

  3. Avatar for bdtex bdtex says:

    Well said

  4. Actually, “imperiled” is very precisely the situation Kay Hagan is in. She stands a very real and significant chance of losing her Senate seat.

    Doing “fairly well” is no endorsement of not being imperiled. It means this is going to be an ugly and probably quite close race all the way down to the wire. Every single Democratic vote is going to be needed for her to remain in the Senate, and off-year turnout by Democrats in North Carolina has, historically, been very problematic.

    I agree that she shows smarts and a spine … which are exactly the sort of attributes that make her a turn-off to a large segment of the North Carolina electorate. They are certainly positive attributes as viewed by Democrats and progressives in general, but they are considered to be “less than tasteful” when exhibited by a woman in the larger North Carolina population. She stands to attract an (even) larger turnout among the right wing precisely because of those attributes.

    The so-called “baggage” that Tillis “seems” to have is exactly the sort of “attributes” that will attract conservative, right wingers to turn out.

    Living in the Research Triangle, a bastion of progressives and liberals by North Carolina standards, I have run into numerous professionals in corporations and in the universities that have expressed great displeasure with Hagan. I can’t get most pf them to be more specific than “Hagan has been bad for North Carolina, we need a change,” which I generally read to be “she’s an Obama Democrat and brought socialized medicine and t3h Geh Agenda to our pure, Christian world.”

    This is in the region of a little over 1 million people (in a state of 9 million) where some of the most liberal and progressive values are concentrated. 15 miles outside the city limits of Raleigh and it’s very easy to find yourself in Deliverance-level ignorance and TeaBaggery. Hagan might poll at ~60-65% in RTP plus Charlotte, but that’s only about 3 million, MAXIMUM, of the North Carolina population. The remaining 6 million plus are more like Fayetteville (“Fayette-Nam,” to locals who pay attention), where I’d be surprised if she is polling at 50%. I would expect more like 40% at best, with large regions under 40%.

    Hopefully Tillis will really fuck up huge with a Todd Akin-level moment. But, if he doesn’t, this is going to be Civil War level conflict among the North Carolina electorate for this race. I think this race is going to be more like how Rand Paul took a Kentucky Senate seat. Some really filthy and corrupt campaigning wher a large right wing turnout is going to vote for the white guy rather than the woman who should be tending to her kitchen.

  5. Last month, Hagen was leading by 2 points in polls by the NYT and PPP(D). Last month PPP(D) put her approval rating at 41%, disapproval at 48%. But, she’s a smart politician, she ditched being seen with Obama in January.

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