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What To Expect Tonight

By Josh Marshall

|

September 26, 2016 8:29 a.m.

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My take on what to expect and not expect in tonight’s debate.

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Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) is the founder and Editor-in-Chief of TPM.

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Political Betting Markets Remain Over-Valued

By Josh Marshall

|

November 4, 2024 12:50 p.m.

If you’ve followed my thinking on this you know I’ve long had a pretty low opinion of political betting markets….
An Interesting Data Point

By Josh Marshall

|

November 4, 2024 12:24 p.m.

I’ve told you a few times about Professor Michael McDonald’s early vote analysis. He has a paywalled final analysis of…
A Small Coda to Today’s Backchannel

By Josh Marshall

|

November 4, 2024 11:49 a.m.

As I argued in today’s Backchannel, I believe Harris, win or lose, has run an almost flawless campaign. To the…
What Kind of Race Did Harris Run?

By Josh Marshall

|

November 4, 2024 10:50 a.m.

The great secret and poverty of campaign reporting is that the majority of it is based on reading the polls…

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