I’m trying to pick apart county by county numbers, not my specialty. But I think these mid-way-through results are starting to look like they’re going to stick. I think Ted Cruz could well win this. The vote counters who I follow are saying the same thing (which makes me feel much more confident in my poor counting skills.)
What happened for Trump? Dave Wasserman, one of the guys who I always follow on these nights, sees more of a chance of Rubio moving ahead of Trump than Trump moving ahead of Cruz.
9:56 PM: Assuming this is Cruz, Trump, Rubio, I think a big question is going to be whether the caucus model was too big an obstacle for Trump or whether there’s a bigger problem that will follow him into New Hampshire.
