Editor's Brief

Where We Are #5

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October 27, 2018 3:03 pm

I want to step aside from the horrible news of the day and do a midterm election update, now ten days from Election Day.

Stepping back from all the storm of recent days and months it’s not any twist or turn or anything that can be identified as momentum that most stands out but rather the underlying stability of the numbers. The exception to this is the Senate. Until early fall, it looked like a long shot that Democrats could reclaim control of the Senate. Then for a brief period it looked still less than likely but much more possible. Almost all the threatened red-state Democrats had at least small leads, albeit often little more than within the margin of error. Unexpected possibilities emerged. Bredesen in Tennessee, Beto O’Rourke in Texas, an outside chance of a Democratic pick up in Mississippi. Then the numbers shifted back to where they had been. They have basically remained there. The battle for the House, however, has shown a remarkable stability.

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