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Midterm Miscellany #1

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November 3, 2018 2:11 p.m.
THE BACKCHANNEL
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We’re now so close on election day and so much new information is coming out I’m going to move to bullet lists of new information that seems significant to me, even amidst a lot of storm and noise that inevitably clouds the final days of a big election.

First: Big update here from Jon Ralston and The Nevada Independent. For a mix of reasons Nevada is one of those states in which you can make fairly accurate predictions based on a close analysis of the early vote. Why? Small state, closely watched state, a recent history that has been predictive and a really good election analyst in Jon Ralston. Democrats had a big, big day in the last day of early voting, which was yesterday and Ralston thinks Democrats now have the advantage going into election day.

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