New Swing States Poll: Trump Takes Leads In Florida And Pennsylvania, Remains Tied In Ohio

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in Florida and Pennsylvania among registered voters in a new Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday, reversing Clinton’s lead in the states in last month’s poll. Trump and Clinton remain tied in Ohio among registered voters.

In Florida, Trump leads Clinton by three points, 42-39. In the Quinnipiac poll released last month, Clinton led Trump in the state by eight points, 47-39.

In Pennsylvania, Trump leads Clinton by two points, 43-41. In the Quinnipiac poll from last month, Clinton led Trump by one point in the state, 42-41.

The candidates remain tied in Ohio, both receiving 41 percent support. They also tied in last month’s Quinnipiac poll, 40-40.

When minor party candidates are included in the poll questions, Trump leads Clinton in all three states.

In Florida, it was Trump 41, Clinton 36, Libertarian Gary Johnson 7, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein 4 percent.

In Pennsylvania, it was Trump 40, Clinton, 34, Johnson 9, and Stein 3.

In Ohio, it was Trump 37, Clinton 36, Johnson 7, and Stein 6.

Quinnipiac University conducted the polls June 30-July 11 via phone. The university surveyed 1,015 Florida voters with a margin or error plus or minus 3.1 percentage points; 955 Ohio voters with a margin of error plus or minus 3.2 percentage points; and 982 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Dear Reader,

When we asked recently what makes TPM different from other outlets, readers cited factors like honesty, curiosity, transparency, and our vibrant community. They also pointed to our ability to report on important stories and trends long before they are picked up by mainstream outlets; our ability to contextualize information within the arc of history; and our focus on the real-world consequences of the news.

Our unique approach to reporting and presenting the news, however, wouldn’t be possible without our readers’ support. That’s not just marketing speak, it’s true: our work would literally not be possible without readers deciding to become members. Not only does member support account for more than 80% of TPM’s revenue, our members have helped us build an engaged and informed community. Many of our best stories were born from reader tips and valuable member feedback.

We do what other news outlets can’t or won’t do because our members’ support gives us real independence.

If you enjoy reading TPM and value what we do, become a member today.

Latest Polltracker
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Associate Editor:
Investigations Desk:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: