Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) maintained a small lead over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton among likely Democratic caucusgoers, according to the latest Quinnipiac University Poll released on the day of the Iowa caucuses.
Sanders earned 49 percent, which represents no change since Tuesday’s version of the poll, while Clinton climbed one-point to 46 percent.
Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley polled at 3 percent. This is 1-point drop for O’Malley.
Among Democratic caucusgoers, 14 percent who chose a candidate said they may change their mind while 2 percent are undecided hours from the start of the caucus.
“The size of the turnout tonight will likely be the key factor, especially on the Democratic side,” poll assistant director Peter A. Brown said in a release with the caucus results. “High turnouts with lots of new caucus participants likely would mean a good night for Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Donald Trump.”
The poll was conducted among 919 likely Democratic caucusgoers from Jan. 25-31 by cell phone and landlines. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.2 percent.
DMR disagrees.
On the other hand…
Selzer final poll of Iowa puts it at 45 Clinton, 42 Sanders…considered the most accurate Iowa poll at fivethirtyeight. So maybe its a grab bag.
What is DMR?
Des Moines Register.
These polls are driving me crazy. I hope they are wrong & throw everyone into a tizzy. Then again, by Republicans using them, they are admitting that they believe in some science. So maybe there’s a silver lining.