Two weeks before Election Day and one week after mail-in voting began, Rep. Cory Gardner (R-CO) is still ahead of Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) in the Colorado Senate race, according to a new poll from Democratic firm Public Policy Polling.
PPP found Gardner leading Udall, 46 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters, the Denver Post reported Tuesday. The firm last surveyed the race in mid-September and showed Gardner up 2 points, 47 percent to 45 percent.
The new poll, conducted Oct. 16-19, surveyed 778 likely voters. Its margin of error is 3.5 points.
According to TPM’s PollTracker average, Udall holds a slim advantage, 45.9 percent to 44.5 percent.
Cory Gardner is pro life, motherfuckers, from conception until birth.
Please be very suspicious of all these polls. There are just too many serious “unknowns.”
(1) This is the first election using the new procedures (thanks to our Democratic legislature) : every registered voter (even “inactive” ones) got a ballot in the mail, which you can mail in or drop off at numerous locations around the state or take to a polling place around the state. You can also register the same day you vote, which is new here. We assume this will help Democratic turnout, but nobody really knows how much.
(2) Nobody has figured out how to factor in cell phones. Specifically, we have a huge influx of new residents in recent years (especially younger voters in urban areas) who opt not to get a landline and still have out-of-state area codes on their cell phones. How are they reaching those people?
(3) There is a “synergy” that should help Democratic turn-out: (a) anti-Gardner, (b) anti-Beauprez for governor (he thinks IUDs are abortions and wants to defund Planned Parenthood), © No on 67-the latest “personhood” attempt. If you are motivated on any one, you’ll likely vote on all three. No hint that any of the polls have factored this into “likely” voters.