Poll: Trump Running As Independent Would Crush GOP’s 2016 Chances

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July 31, 2015 1:12 p.m.

A poll released Friday showed that Donald Trump would completely blow the Republican Party’s chances of winning the presidency in 2016 if he ran as an independent.

The McClatchy-Marist Poll of potential voters nationwide showed that in a three-way general election, Democrat Hillary Clinton would lead with 44 percent of votes, former Gov. Jeb Bush (R) with 29 percent, and Trump as an independent with 20 percent.

In a two-way election with Bush, according to the poll, Clinton would have a 6-point lead — 49 percent to 43 percent.

The survey was conducted with live interviewers over the phone among almost 1,249 adults throughout the nation from July 22 to July 28. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

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