Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) has a small lead in the Louisiana Senate jungle primary, but will likely lose to Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) in a December runoff, according to a Suffolk University/USA Today poll released Monday.
Among likely voters, 36 percent supported Landrieu, 35 percent supported Cassidy and 11 percent supported Tea Party candidate Rob Maness. Yet in a match-up between just Landrieu and Cassidy, Cassidy had a 7 point lead over Landrieu, though 11 percent of voters say they’re undecided in a head-to-head contest.
The Suffolk survey confirms previous polling, which shows Landrieu winning the primary, but failing to win the 50 percent necessary to avoid a runoff.
According to TPM’s Polltracker average, Landrieu leads Cassidy by 3.7 points in a jungle primary.
And Cassidy leads Landrieu by three points in a runoff election.
Suffolk surveyed 500 likely voters Oct. 23-26 with a margin of error plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.