Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump shrunk by eight points since last week, according to a Reuters/Ipsos national poll released Tuesday night.
Clinton led Trump by seven points, 43-36, among likely voters in the new poll, compared to her 15 point lead over Trump in the tracking poll released last week.
Ipsos surveyed 1,069 likely voters July 15-19 with a margin of error plus or minus 3 percentage points.
15 points was an outlier.
I guess TPM only covers Reuters/Ipsos polls when the results are unfavorable to Clinton.
only negative polls against HRC get coverage. BTW 7 points is a huge lead at this point
Sounds dangerously similar to the “skewed polls” mentality… let’s take it back to reality, shall we? TPM isn’t anti-Hillary.
Its not rocket science - Bernie voters are a little pissed off (many of them at Bernie, oddly enough), Trump voters are at peak mania, the rest of the public is at peak not-giving-a-damn… and Hillary is still winning big. These polls might be a outlier, or they might just be an accurate July poll of a fatigued electorate.
The important things to note: Trump still can’t surpass 40% and probably never will, Hillary is building a solid GOTV op, and polls in July mean nothing.
I’m not concerned about polling at this point. I won’t be overly concerned even if the polling is close because Clinton’s ground organization is far superior to Trump’s. My problem is with TPM’S selective coverage of polling.