Real-estate billionaire Donald Trump has a seven-point lead over Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in the Republican race in Iowa, according to an American Research Group poll released Monday.
ARG’s poll showed support for Trump at 33 percent of likely Republican caucusgoers, while 26 percent supported Cruz. That’s a stronger lead for Trump than the one recorded by the same poll earlier this month, which showed Trump beating Cruz 29 percent to 25 percent.
With only one other candidate, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), scraping into double digits at 11 percent support, this poll also suggests that the Iowa GOP caucus has turned into a two-person race between Trump and Cruz. That conclusion echoes most recent Iowa and nationwide polling. It’s also consistent with other polls suggesting Trump is gaining the upper hand in the hard-fought Iowa contest.
The ARG poll was conducted from Jan. 21-24 by live telephone interviews of 400 likely Republican caucusgoers, with a margin of error of 5 percentage points.