Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball Moves Arkansas Senate Race To Tossup


Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball website has moved the Arkansas Senate race from “leans Republican” to “tossup.”

That rating switch, made on Thursday, comes in light of a number of recent polls showing Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR) leading Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR), the presumptive Republican nominee in the race for Pryor’s seat.

“It’s become clear over the past few months that Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR), despite the increasing Republican lean of his state, has been holding his own, or better, against Rep. Tom Cotton (R, AR-4),” Sabato’s Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik wrote in a post on the ratings change.

Three of the recent polls have shown Pryor with a double-digit lead over Cotton which has prompted Cotton to take a more positive approach to campaigning where he’s released multiple ads highlighting his background his background. Cotton’s campaign has also released an internal campaign poll showing the race in a near perfect dead heat.