Boom! Clinton Leads Trump 49-37 In Dramatic New Poll

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at the California Republican Party 2016 convention in Burlingame, Calif., Friday, April 29, 2016. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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A new Bloomberg poll published Tuesday shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 49 percent to 37 percent among likely voters nationwide. It also showed that 55 percent of those polled said that they would never vote for Trump.

The survey was taken Friday through Monday among 1,000 U.S. adults ages 18 and over, 750 of them likely voters. The margin of error for questions asked of all participants was 3.1 percentage points, while the questions geared to likely voters have a 3.6 percent margin or error.

“Clinton has a number of advantages in this poll, in addition to her lead,” J. Ann Selzer, the pollster who oversaw the survey, told Bloomberg. “Her supporters are more enthusiastic than Trump’s and more voters overall see her becoming a more appealing candidate than say that for Trump.”

Bloomberg notes that Trump’s “negatives remain unusually high for a presidential candidate” and that “Clinton’s polling advantage over Trump followed a strong week for her that has included primary wins and multiple endorsements.”

It also said that it was “troubling” for Trump that 63 percent of women polled said they could never vote for him. For decades, female voters have made up a majority of the electorate.

Trump is leading Clinton among white men — 50 to 33 percent — according to the poll, but he still has work to do to catch up to the 62 percent of white men who supported Mitt Romney in 2012 exit polls.

A majority of likely voters — 64 percent — said they expect that Trump will keep saying things that upset Republicans, while only 30 percent said they believe the presumptive GOP nom would tone it down.

Trump did lead Clinton, 50 percent to 45 percent, when likely voters were asked who would better combat terrorist threats here and abroad.

The poll comes as previous surveys have shown the gap between Clinton and Trump widening. Clinton lead Trump by 6.2 points before the Bloomberg poll came out, according to TPM’s Poll Tracker Average. In mid-May, after Trump emerged as the presumptive GOP nominee, the polls were tighter, with NBC/WSJ showing Clinton up by 3 points and ABC/WashingtonPost giving Trump a 2-point lead. Since then, Clinton has secured the delegates required for the Democratic nomination and the party has been taking steps to bring in Bernie Sanders’s supporters.

Meanwhile, Trump has shown no sign that he plans on moderating his tone or policy proposals now that he will top the Republican ticket. He drew the condemnation of top members of his party over his claims that a federal judge presiding over Trump University lawsuits is biased because the judge is of Mexican descent. More recently, since the mass shooting at an Orlando LGBT night club, Trump has doubled down on his proposal to ban Muslims, while insinuating that President Obama was somehow connected to the attack.

Correction: The post has been corrected to reflect the sample size and margin of error for the likely voters surveyed.

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Notable Replies

  1. Trump: People are just taking pity at her. ALL real Americans will vote for me. I will have her arrested after I am POTUS.

  2. Trump may not be able to pivot, but the electorate sure can.

  3. Bing… Bang… BOOM —

    Wait till the conventions ----

  4. Everyone knows what Donnie Doowop will say…“It’s Bloomberg. Waddya expect from them. They hate me. Of course they’re wrong. They’re wrong about everything…It’s Bloomberg.”

    Then he’ll ban their press credentials at his next big rally or fake press conference.

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