A few days ago, Charlie Cook, noted election watcher, pointed out that for two straight weeks the Gallup ‘congressional generic’ poll had moved clearly in the direction of the Dems, despite other pollsters still showing continued Republican strength. Blip or trend?
Now we know. At least for the moment. Gallup’s latest number came out this afternoon. And it’s gone right back into the Republican column — GOP up 48% to 43%.
Here’s the TPM Poll Average trend graph for the Congressional Generic …
(Click the TPM logo on graph to see the full size graph.)
We get a lot of people writing in saying that Rasmussen’s numbers hopelessly skew the result. And they do push the numbers in a Republican direction. But here’s the graph with the Rasmussen numbers removed. As you can see, the trend is no different …
