TPM Reader SB has a question …
This has been bugging me for a while now:
The conventional wisdom is that the Dems are toast in the House, but that they are very unlikely to lose the Senate, since it would take a running-of-the-table of certain races to get them down to 49 seats. Nate Silver says there’s only a 19% chance that will happen.
But going down to 50 is much more plausible: Silver thinks those odds are better than 1 in 3.
The question is, do you really trust Joe Lieberman to stick with the Dems when he could become a GOP hero (and probably get whatever committee assignment he wanted) by voting for Mitch McConnell for Majority Leader?
