Personal Best?

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October 17, 2010 12:15 p.m.
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At the playground this morning with my kids I ran into a TPM Reader who raised an interesting point: Even if Christine O’Donnell doesn’t win on November 2nd, will she at least score a personal best?

Remember, this is the third consecutive cycle in which O’Donnell has run for Senate. In 2006, she lost in the Republican primary but then ran as a write-in, garnering 4% against Tom Carper. Then she ran again in 2008 getting 35.3% of the vote against Joe Biden, who of course was also running for Vice President.

So 35% is the mark she needs to beat.

Notwithstanding all the trials of her campaign, it’s difficult to imagine that in this election year O’Donnell can’t exceed her personal best against a relative unknown like Chris Coons (who’s actually not that unknown in the state). Going back to July she’s only twice polled below 35% against Coons, though one of those two was just a few days ago. And she’s polled over 40% three times — though each of those was a Rasmussen poll and the highest was 42%. (See all the polls here.) So the polling trend shows it’s possible she could actually underperform her 2008 personal best, though it seems unlikely.

Key Coronavirus Crisis Links

Josh Marshall’s Twitter List of Trusted Experts (Epidemiologists, Researchers, Clinicians, Journalists, Government Agencies) providing reliable real-time information on the COVID-19 Crisis.

Johns Hopkins Global COVID-19 Survey (most up to date numbers globally and for countries around the world).

COVID-19 Tracking Project (updated data on testing and infections in the U.S.).

Worldometers.info (extensive source of information and data visualizations on COVID-19 Crisis — discussion of data here).

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