One Screwed Up Year

Is Carl Paladino behind Andrew Cuomo by 6 points? Or is it 33 points? Or is 19 points?

Depends which poll of that race you look at taken between September 20th and the 22nd. And no, likelies vs. registereds doesn’t even solve the discrepancy. The 6 and 19 numbers are both polls of likelies. No one knows what’s going on here.