Near the end of the day on Monday, we now have a full, though murkier, picture of what the polls say about the New Jersey governor’s race one day out. Here’s the latest. (See all NJ-Gov polls here.)
Three polls out this morning or overnight all showed small margins for Christie. More significant, however, they all showed movement in Christie’s direction since the previous survey by that pollster. Most significant in my mind was the Quinnipiac poll which showed only a two point margin for Christie but a 7 point move in his direction since Quinnipiac’s last poll released October 28th.
This afternoon though we’ve had two more polls showing a narrow Corzine lead. One is the Dem-affiliated Democracy Corps poll, which is a solid poll but has consistently shown a Corzine-tilt relative to other polls during this campaign. And Monmouth has now released a poll showing a 2 point margin for Corzine — in contrast to a 1 point Christie margin in a poll Monmouth released over the weekend.