9:46 PM: And now Haley’s back down to 48% and AP is calling it as a run-off with 78% of the precincts in.
9:36 PM: More of this craziness? There’s 72% of the precincts reporting in South Carolina and Nikki Haley is at 49% of the vote. But remember, she’s got to get to 50% plus 1 vote to avoid a run-off. She’s crept up a bit over the last hour or so.
9:32 PM: Without knowing just where those votes are coming from, we really can’t draw any conclusions about the early results out of Arkansas. But Lincoln’s lead of about 6 points has been pretty consistent so far.
