We’ve been tracking the Corzine-Christie race in New Jersey pretty closely. And I’ve mentioned a few times that there’s a pattern — or an apparent pattern — of Republicans running strong in statewide races only to see their numbers collapse near election day. A close observer sent me an email last night arguing that the conventional wisdom doesn’t really square with the evidence. And really it’s much more a matter of a few races over the last decade. So Eric Kleefeld got in touch with some experts on New Jersey politics to get their read.
The upshot is that while there have been some significant exceptions, New Jersey Republicans do seem to have a track record of significantly underperforming the polls on election day. Check out Eric’s report.
