Did The Wave Crest?

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October 4, 2010 12:21 p.m.

We’ve got another new congressional generic just out today. This one from Rasmussen and it shows a 3 point spread for the GOP — GOP 45%, Dems 42%. But the context is important. Last week Rasmussen had a 6 point margin. And for most of the summer their number has hovered around 10 points or higher in the GOP’s favor. In other words, going by their past averages, Friday’s Newsweek poll and today’s from Rasmussen are pretty consistent.

The TPM Poll Average for the congressional generic now stands at +1.9 GOP.

Full size graph after the jump.

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