A Preview of Reopening

There’s an interesting preview in Israel right now of what we might see over the summer months as vaccines allow the US to unwind the patchwork of restrictions and mitigation of the COVID epidemic. A stunning 82% of the over 50 population has already been vaccinated. Israel is far away moving the fastest to vaccinate their whole population. But in recent days they’re seeing an uptick in the spread coefficient of the disease. The “R” value is now at .99 and that’s before the impact of Purim, which may be seen as roughly equivalent of Thanksgiving or Christmas in terms of people congregating together.