Polls Show Late Surge For Strickland In OH-GOV, But Kasich Narrowly Ahead

The Ohio gubernatorial race is tightening in the final days of the campaign, with incumbent Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland seriously cutting into the lead of Republican former Rep. John Kasich in two separate polls.

The new Columbus Dispatch mail-in poll gives Kasich 49%, Strickland 47%. The survey of likely voters has a ±2.3% margin of error. In the previous Dispatch poll from early September, Kasich led by 49%-37% — meaning that Kasich’s support has stayed the same, while Strickland has made an enormous net gain.

In Public Policy Polling’s (D) survey, Kasich has 49% to Strickland’s 48%. The survey of likely voters has a ±2.7% margin of error. In the previous PPP survey from late August, Kasich had a much stronger lead of 50%-40%.

The TPM Poll Average gives Kasich a lead of 48.1%-45.6%, but with some clear recent momentum to Strickland’s blue line against Kasich’s red one. Will it be enough to change the result?

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