Poll: Blumenthal Nosedives In Wake Of NY Times Story

May 19, 2010 5:06 a.m.

Connecticut attorney general Dick Blumenthal (D) has seen his double-digit lead over former wrestling CEO Linda McMahon (R) collapse in the wake of the New York Times expose on his self-professed “misstatements” about his military record.

A new Rasmussen poll of the race, taken Tuesday night — about 24 hours after the Times story broke — shows Blumenthal ahead by a margin of 48-45. The last Rasmussen poll of that matchup, taken May 4, showed Blumenthal decimating McMahon by a margin of 52-39.

In the new poll, Blumenthal’s lead over the other two Republicans in the primary race — Rep. Rob Simmons and businessman Peter Schiff — also took a dip in the wake of the story. The poll of 500 likely voters was taken on May 18 and has a margin of error of 4.5%.

In the May 4 Rasmussen poll, Blumenthal led Simmons 55-32. In the May 18 poll the lead narrowed a bit, with Blumenthal now leading by a margin of 50-39. The TPM Poll Average of the matchup shows Blumenthal ahead by a margin of 51.4-36.9.

It’s a similar story with Schiff. In the May 4 poll, Blumenthal led 54-29. The new Rasmussen numbers show that lead shrunk to 53-37. The TPM Poll Average for a Blumenthal-Schiff general election shows Blumenthal ahead by a margin of 53.1-34.7.

As was reported nearly everywhere after the Times story broke, McMahon’s campaign claimed responsibility for the article, saying it was based on McMahon opposition research. That could be why the McMahon-Blumenthal numbers shifted so dramatically. In any case, Blumenthal still enjoys a slight lead in the TPM Poll Average: against McMahon, he’s ahead by a margin of 49.2-42.7.

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