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From The Reporter’s Notebook
Hillary Clinton’s campaign is touting an “unprecedented” rate of early voting among Latino voters in Florida, citing a 99 percent increase from 2012 in the number of ballots cast so far. “There’s nothing about that number that’s not a big deal,” Democratic consultant Steve Schale told TPM’s Esme Cribb, calling the statistic a “a sign of enthusiasm” reflective of an influx of first-time voters and an increase in voter diversity. “The more diverse the electorate, the better we’re going to be,” Schale said, adding that it “would just make Secretary Clinton’s path to victory much easier.”
Agree or Disagree?
Josh Marshall: “Judis and Teixeira were right. This coalition, whether an ’emerging Democratic majority’ or the ‘Obama coalition,’ now dominates presidential politics in the United States. What Judis and Teixeira didn’t get into explicitly — what perhaps couldn’t quite be predicted — was the way the dimming of the political dominance of white Christian America would lead to a running revolt which we’ve seen in Sarah Palin, the basket of GOP congressional crazy and finally Donald Trump.”
“It’s not for me to take away a grown man’s Twitter account.”
– Kellyanne Conway admits she can only do so much to keep Trump on-message as the last two weeks of the 2016 election tick down.
BUZZING: Today in the Hive
From a TPM Prime member: “I think it’s entirely possible here in Missouri for the Democratic candidate Jason Kander to actually attract Trump voters (even if those same voters skip the P & VP election). And my reasoning matches that of the NY Times writer on the same topic — there’s a very real anti-incumbent mood brewing out here in this piece of flyover country. I think turnout will maybe go down slightly for the GOP but we’re going to have a lot of skips at the top of the ballot and either the GOP then votes straight ticket or some veer off to give folks like Kander a chance. Interesting election… one for the history books for sure.”
Related: The Cook Political Report predicted Democrats will take back their Senate majority and win five to seven seats in November.
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What We’re Reading
Undercover with a militia on the US-Mexico border. (Mother Jones)
The Trump TV cartoon that never happened. (Fusion)