We’ve just released the latest (and likely final) TPM Poll Average of tomorrow’s South Carolina Republican presidential primary. It’s Gingrich 35.7%, Romney 26.4%, Santorum 13.9%, Paul 12.8%. This is includes the final polling from PPP that came out in the last hour. (Full Trend Chart after the jump.)

To put this in some perspective. On the January 15th, the date of the debate many credit with igniting his current run, Gingrich was at 21.1%. Tonight he’s at 35.7%. A move of almost 15 points in 5 days. Over the same period Romney has dropped around 6 points. Read More

PPP is out with its final numbers going into tomorrow’s South Carolina primary. It’s 37% Gingrich, 28% Romney, 16% Santorum, 14% Paul. That’s polling of 1540 voters over the last three days. In the calls they made tonight, Newt was up 40% to 26% over Romney. One night, especially a Friday night, is not much to go on. But it’s in line with the trend since Monday which has shown Gingrich rocketing into the lead.

Anything can happen. Polls can be wrong. But polls seldom give us such clear guidance on what to expect. Read More

Republicans give Romney free advice on how not to blow the race he’s actually pretty much already won.