Democrat Holds Massive 12-Point Lead Over Sen. Toomey In Pennsylvania Poll

Katie McGinty, who is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Pat Toomey, R-PA, speaks during a campaign stop by Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine on Tuesday, Aug. 30, 2016, at ... Katie McGinty, who is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Pat Toomey, R-PA, speaks during a campaign stop by Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine on Tuesday, Aug. 30, 2016, at the Bayfront Convention Center in Erie, Pa. (Jack Hanrahan/Erie Times-News via AP) MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Democratic Senate candidate Katie McGinty holds a distant 12-point lead over incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) in a new poll from Franklin & Marshall University.

The latest poll of the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania is an outlier among most recent polling in the size of McGinty’s advantage over Toomey, but matches most recent polls showing the Democratic challenger taking the lead.

McGinty leads the poll among likely Keystone State voters, 47-35, with Independent Everett Stern polling at 2 percent and Libertarian Edward Clifford III at 1 percent.

The new poll shows an increase for the former member of the Bill Clinton administration, who led Franklin & Marshall’s September poll by six points, 41-35.

Most recent polls of the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania, including releases from Muhlenberg College/Morning Call and CBS/YouGov, show the candidates either tied or McGinty ahead by a modest four points respectively.

The Franklin & Marshall poll was conducted online and over the phone from Oct. 26-30 among 652 likely Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania shows McGinty leading Toomey, 45.1 to 40.2.

Latest Polltracker
Comments
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Associate Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: