Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) will not be attending the Iowa Straw Poll -one of the most high-profile events of the presidential cycle, and instead go to the Redstate Gathering in Atlanta.
An official on Bush’s political campaign team confirmed to TPM that the former governor is going to the Redstate event instead. The news was first reported by the Des Moines Register.
Bush, who has indicated strong interest in running for president in 2016, is the first of the would-be 2016 contenders or declared 2016 contenders, to decide to skip out on the straw poll. Critics argue that the poll is actually a bad indicator of who the actual frontrunner is in the presidential primary process.
The news sparked an outraged rant from the chairman of Iowa’s Republican Party.
We hope Governor Bush rethinks his decision and realizes that grassroots will only grow in Iowa if he waters them. (1/3)
— Jeff Kaufmann (@kaufmannGOP) May 12, 2015
The RedState Gathering is a four day event and other candidates have already indicated that they will be attending both. (2/3)
— Jeff Kaufmann (@kaufmannGOP) May 12, 2015
We don’t buy this excuse and neither will Iowans. (3/3)
— Jeff Kaufmann (@kaufmannGOP) May 12, 2015
The move comes amid reports that Bush faces a steep climb to dominating in Iowa, if he decided to run for president. National Journal reported that Bush has taken heed of wariness among Iowa conservatives about his chances in the state and instead plans to focus more on New Hampshire.
A Quinnipiac poll released on Wednesday found Bush lagging behind the rest of the likely and declared 2016 Republican field, with just 5 percent of voters saying they would back him.
Earlier in the year, Bush seemed to be laying the groundwork for a hard push in Iowa when David Kochel, a former top adviser to Mitt Romney with deep ties to Iowa who recently served as a senior adviser to now-Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA) joined Bush’s political team. If Bush runs for president, Kochel is expected to serve as campaign manager.
Of course Jeb is skipping Iowa…the Straw Poll has a really poor track record and is pretty useless. Plus, why pander to the grass roots when he is busy getting a green shower from his backers?
He has more important things to do, like plan a re-invasion of Iraq.
This does not bode well for the Bushes.
However, the Bushes are Republican royalty. Jebbya Bush should be anointed for this reason alone and not be made to contest elections.
Not much advantage provided by winning the Iowa Straw Poll, unless you think that your constituency is the nuttiest nuts in the whole nut jar. This may be the only smart move that Jeb has made so far. Hopefully, the end result will still have him back in Miami licking his rejection wounds from the American voters.
Carson or Huckabee will most likely win the straw poll. Crazier the better! Jeb doesn’t want to be “embarrassed” by a poor Iowa showing.