Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR) leads challenger Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR) by 6 percentage points according to a newly released internal poll.
The poll found Pryor leading Cotton, 45 percent to 39 percent among likely voters. Libertarian candidate Nathan LaFrance got 3 percent while Green Party candidate Mark Swaney got 2 percent, the poll found.
Furthermore, an 8 percent of those surveyed said there was a “fair chance” they would support Pryor. Meanwhile 9 percent said there is a “fair chance” they might decide to back Cotton.
“The results further suggest that the vote ceiling for Senator Pryor is higher than Tom Cotton’s,” pollster Andrew Maxfield wrote in the polling memo.
The poll was first reported by Politico.
The poll was conducted by Harstad Strategic Research on behalf of the Pryor campaign. The poll surveyed 807 likely voters by telephone between July 7 and 10. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Read the memo below:
Arkansas U.S. Senate Update-HarstadResearch
The TPM Polltracker average gives Cotton a 5.6 percentage point lead over Pryor.
Good news for Republicans!
Not an easy race to predict given that the GOP failed to even run a candidate against Pryor back in 2008.
Bagger response when Republicans don’t retake the Senate: "But Faux Not really News PROMISED!
In what is supposed to be a big GOP year,how can it be that 3 Dem incumbents in the “solid South” are leading in their Senate races? How long will it be before any major media outlet challenges the cw?
While I like the answer - am I the only person who finds internal polls to be about the most suspect things there are in polling?