Hillary Clinton held a six-point lead ahead of Donald Trump in a new poll from Bloomberg Politics out Wednesday.
In a two-way matchup, the former secretary of state had 50 percent support among likely voters, compared to 44 percent for the real estate mogul. Clinton’s lead drops slightly, to 44 percent to Trump’s 40 percent, in a four-person contest, with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson taking 9 percent of the vote and Green Party nominee Jill Stein receiving 4 percent.
This Clinton advantage is comparable to the results found by a slate of other national polls released since the Democratic and Republican national conventions.
According to the Bloomberg survey, Clinton benefits from consolidated Democratic support around her candidacy and backers who are more interested in electing her than in simply stopping her opponent.
Clinton received 94 percent of the Democratic vote, including 93 percent of Democrats who backed Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) in the primaries, while Trump earned 87 percent among Republicans.
Among the Democratic nominee’s voters, 56 percent said they were more interested in supporting her than in preventing a Trump presidency. The opposite was true for Trump backers, with 56 percent saying they were motivated more by defeating Clinton than by support for the billionaire businessman.
Despite Clinton’s edge, her lead is significantly lower than it was in a national Bloomberg poll taken in June, when she led Trump 49 percent to 37 percent. That survey was conducted in the wake of Trump’s attacks on the “Mexican” heritage of a U.S.-born federal judge.
The latest poll was conducted Aug. 5-Aug. 8 among 1,007 U.S. adults, 749 of them likely voters. The margin of error was 3.6 percentage points among likely voters and 3.1 percentage points for the full sample.
Don’t let up now, Madame President.
Be articulate as hell…
On Nov. 9 … It’ll be 12 points —
Drumpf and the 3 am call.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tLSy8Tl2bjsShe’s beginning to hit 50 percent in these polls. In a few more weeks, when several more polls show the same movement, that lead will be baking into the cake. Clinton rises to the top of the cake batter while Trump sinks to the bottom to get his ass burned along with Johnson and Stein.
The wild gyrations in Hillary’s lead do not necessarily correlate to the subjective contours of the race as it plays out in real time. The inherent volatility in any collection small samples of such a large population (bear in mind, these polls typically sample 600-800 people, which is then supposed to model the behavior of some 125-130 million people (over 127 million voted int he 2012 election) should make one sufficiently suspicious of the hard percentages of any single poll. You can however take comfort in the consistency with which all polls show HRC leading, as regardless of the methodology of the poll, she is enjoying a lead in every one of them. This is pretty close to over, barring a mis-step of some unimaginable magnitude.