Bush’s $4.8 Million Ad Blitz In N.H. Has Had No Effect On His Polling

Republican presidential candidate, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush speaks during an education summit, Wednesday, Aug. 19, 2015, in Londonderry, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
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The $4.8 million TV and radio ad blitz in New Hampshire by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and his associated super Pacs has done little to bump up his polling in the state, which is considered crucial to his campaign.

A report by Politico Thursday notes that in the weeks since the ad buy — which has pro-Bush ads taking up 60 percent of the political airspace in the state — the former governor’s average poll numbers have actually dipped down, from 9 percent to 8.7 percent.

In New Hampshire, seen by many as a must-win for Bush, Bush and the Right to Rise super PAC backing him have spent at least $4.8 million on TV and radio to support him since early September. One ad-tracking firm produced an analysis for POLITICO that showed pro-Bush spots in the past three weeks have occupied about 60 percent of the political ad air-time in the state. Bush’s numbers have moved from 9 percent to 8.7 percent since the ad blitz began, according to the Real Clear Politics averages of polls in the GOP primary.

According to Politico, donors have become concerned that they are not getting a bang for their bucks, prompting the campaign to take a series of cost cutting measures.

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  1. Avatar for imkmu3 imkmu3 says:

    The only thing to conclude–they hate Bushes in NH. Which is on par with the rest of America. Still, feel free to dump a few hundred million into ad campaigns. After all, you may lift your popularity by a few tenths of a percent…or not.

  2. I’d be willing to bet dollars to donuts that by the end of January 2016, the money will slow down to a trickle if not stop altogether. If the billionaires don’t see some kind of return on their “investment”, they won’t hesitate to go elsewhere.

    Honestly, at this point, I don’t JEB gives a damn. He’s in it to cop some extra millions then walk off into the sunset. His heart isn’t in this at all.

  3. Well, that’s not good for JEB. Chewed up 60% of the market and drove your own numbers down 0.3%?

    Its even worse because like so many republicans, his campaign…errr, his superPAC, sorry, only knows how to use money for ad buys. And if those don’t work, they got nothing.

    In other news about this Bush campaign

    JEB’s campaign is starting to feel the pinch of lower donations and is taking steps to cut expenses.

    @brooklyndweller you won’t have to wait that long. We should get the numbers tomorrow, early next week, but 3rd quarter was apparently abysmal for JEB’s fund raising efforts.

  4. You get no disagreement from me on this. However, if his money dries up by the end of 2015 (let’s be generous and say November), that’s also the time when the House GOP will still be cannibalizing itself and the debt ceiling is in real jeopardy of not being dealt with. They won’t have an establishment candidate going into the general. Truly, the Republicans are no longer a political party.

  5. Avatar for bdtex bdtex says:

    if I recall correctly,only Carson,Rubio,Cruz and Rand Paul have released their 3rd quarter fundraising numbers so far.

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