As I noted yesterday, there are four Senate races that seem legitimately in doubt: Colorado, West Virginia, Nevada and Illinois. (Others like PA and KY and WA could flip. But as I said yesterday, those outcomes require more heroic assumptions. Especially WA and KY, which look pretty much settled.) Of those West Virginia and Nevada, are each leaning a bit to the Dems and GOP, respectively. Illinois leans ever so slightly to the GOP. But Colorado is the one that seems truly anybody’s guess. Nate Silver just changed his rating of the race to a 53.5% chance for the GOP.
The last two polls of the race (both robopolls by SurveyUSA and PPP) both have it dead even at 47% each. Before that all the non-partisan polls showed Buck ahead, but by a declining margin.
Eric Lach brings us the latest on the race and why it’s tightening.
