More evidence of the small, but discernible Kerry trend in the final 72 hours.
As we reported in the earlier post, the Sunday CBS/NYT poll, which gave a three point margin to the president, was one of the oldest of those released yesterday. It had calls from Thursday, Friday and Saturday.
Today, though, CBS/NYT came out with another poll. And this one has Bush over Kerry by only one point.
But that’s not the most important detail. If I’m reading the polling analysis correctly, CBS/NYT took those first three days of calls (totalling 920 people) and added one more day of calls on Sunday. The total at the end was 1,345 people.
Since that one additional day moved the numbers two points in Kerry’s favor, that suggests that Kerry’s numbers on Sunday were very good.
Late Update: In the interests of completeness, the tracking polls today show a more muddled and slightly more Bush-friendly picture. Zogby and WaPo both went from a tie yesterday at 48% to one up for Bush today. Rasmussen went from Bush up 48.1% to 47.1% to Bush up 48.8% to 47.4%. (When he includes ‘leaners’, he gets Bush 49.4% to Kerry 48.8%.) And Tipp, which had been trending against Kerry, went from Bush up by 5% yesterday to Bush up 2% today.
