A new Rasmussen poll of the Pennsylvania Senate race finds former Rep. Pat Toomey (R) out in front against Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak in a race that some polls have shown to be a dead heat. Rasmussen puts Toomey up 45%-39%, a margin comparable to that from Rasmussen’s poll of the race from two weeks ago, which gave Toomey a 45%-38% lead.
Other polls have depicted a much tighter race. A July 11 Quinnipiac poll showed Toomey and Sestak neck-and-neck with 43% each, and a PPP poll from June 21 showed both candidates with 41%. Each Rasmussen poll since June, however, has given Toomey a six- or seven-point edge.
The TPM Poll Average of the race shows Toomey ahead of Sestak 43.9%-42.3%. The margin of error for the latest Rasmussen poll is ±4.0 percentage points.
Check out TPMDC’s full coverage of the race here.