In it, but not of it. TPM DC

Poll: Specter Ahead For Re-Election

Arlen-specter
Newscom

The previous Research 2000 poll of this race was from all the way back in August 2009, and had Specter ahead of Toomey by 45%-40%. This was shortly before Specter began to trail Toomey in most polls, so there isn't enough data from this pollster alone to establish a definite trend.

However, it should be noted that this result is very close to a recent Quinnipiac poll, which showed Specter taking a 49%-42% lead over Toomey after having previously trailed in their polls after the last few months. So it's quite possible that Specter's numbers could be coming back.