Democrats may have a real shot to pull off a shocking upset in Alabama’s Senate race, according to the first public poll released in the general election.
Former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R) leads former U.S. Attorney Doug Jones (D) by 50 percent to 45 percent in a poll released Friday by campaign handicapper Decision Desk HQ, a fairly tight race.
Individual poll results should always be taken with a grain of salt, and this poll conducted by Opinion Savvy Research was only in the field for two days, shorter than the three-day stretch many reputable pollsters insist on. The only other recent public surveys of the race, from Emerson, found Moore up by a wide margin in one and Jones within four points in another, so more polling will be helpful to get a clearer picture of whether or not the race is truly competitive.
But if the results are even close to accurate, that should be a siren for Democrats that they should step up for Jones against the divisive Moore — a prospect they’re already seriously considering.
The survey seems close to what’s expected in an Alabama race — President Trump has a 55 percent approval rating in the poll, with 43 percent disapproving, almost identical to the numbers Gallup has found, and the sample was 24 percent African American, roughly in line with normal elections in the state. It’s also notable that Moore is so controversial that he’s running behind Trump in the deep-red state.
More pollsters are undoubtedly in the field to see whether Moore’s nomination might have put deep-red Alabama in play for December, and a clearer picture of the race will likely emerge in the next week or so of whether Democrats will seriously contest the race. But this survey should give them some cautious optimism that the reason Moore won just 51 percent of the statewide vote in 2012 is his own inherent weaknesses, and that they might be able to capitalize on internal GOP divisions and have a outside shot at an upset that would rock the political world.
Moore is a lawless individual–he’s flaunted the law several times and clearly believes that you only need obey laws with which you agree. That’s inimical to a society that professes to believe in the rule of law. And besides, he’s AHNC, as we say out here in rodeoland, All Hat and No Cattle. A demagogue, a phony and a drugstore cowboy.
Dear TPM: As pointed out by another user on an earlier thread, how about you start putting Jones’s pic up instead of this theocratic faux-cowboy?
I hate the narrative that this could create of another “Democrat loses” (even if a narrow loss) in a deep red seat that normally would be miles out of reach. That being said, if there was ever a person to go after, it is Moore, who is not fit to hold public office of any kind. So, with that in mind, I have contributed to Jones’s campaign this morning, and I hope that the Democrats go after this seat with full force.
I think Democrats should spend a bunch of money marketing the party, independent of any candidates. They let the GOP make a cartoon caricature of them and are doing nothing to counter that. Marketing can help them take back control of their image on their terms. Remind people what policies they support, bills they have passed, and how they help the average person.
If that’s successful, it makes it a lot easier for a candidate to get their message across.
If Yosemite Sam supported abortion, he’d be the ideal GOP candidate.