The new Research 2000 poll of the Massachusetts special Senate election, commissioned by the local liberal blog Blue Mass Group, give Democrat Martha Coakley a lead of 49%-41% over Republican Scott Brown, with a ±4% margin of error.
From the internals, Coakley wins Democrats by 82%-12%, Brown wins Republicans by 85%-7%, and Brown wins independents by 49%-36%. If Coakley has indeed solidified Democratic support and is winning even just a significant minority of independents, that should be enough to put her over the finish line in this heavily Dem state.
This is the first publicly-released poll conducted entirely after the final debate from this past Monday.