A new poll signals trouble for conservatives’ fight to repeal Obamacare: it’s losing steam in Republican-held House districts, which have been the national backbone of the cause.
The survey, released Monday by Democracy Corps, a Democratic firm run by former Bill Clinton aides James Carville and Stan Greenberg, asked voters in the most competitive House districts whether they prefer the Democrats’ push to “implement and fix” Obamacare or the GOP’s push to “repeal and replace” Obamacare.
In 50 Republican-held districts it found a 10-point swing in the direction of “implement and fix” from December 2013 to April 2014. Four months ago 47 percent chose “implement” while 46 percent chose “repeal.” This month it was 53 percent and 42 percent, respectively. (Charts via Democracy Corps.)
In “tier 1 Republican seats” — which the survey identified as the most competitive — the poll found an 10-point swing among voters in the direction of “implement” during the same time period.
Even among self-identified independents — who have long opposed Obamacare — the momentum is with implementation of the law: the poll found a 19-point swing toward the Democrats’ message. Fifty percent of them now want to keep and “fix” the law; 43 percent wanted to repeal and replace it.
The only region of the country where “repeal and replace” has gained traction over the last four months is the South — it picked up 6 points. Among white rural voters outside the South “implement and fix” gained a whopping 20 points; among rural voters generally it gained 11 points.
The poll, conducted from April 10-15, surveyed 2006 voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.58 percentage points in the GOP districts. The charts above were included in the survey, which can be read in full below.
The GOPTP is going to regret labeling the ACA as “Obamacare”. As more and more people enroll, more and more people will realize they like it, want it, and need it. Hence, this popular program will FOREVER be linked to the man they attempted to demonize. haha.
We Democrats can help them regret it by calling it Obamacare long after his Presidency is over.
I fervently hope that Democrats will wake up and start acting like Democrats. This ACA is the ONE thing Democrats have delivered on because of the obstruction in all other areas. Why not go to a town hall, or a debate and ask:
What do you want to get rid of:
This is what they have to push. And when they get the push-back of how much it will cost, answer with the FACTS: This is going to save money; repealing it would cost us.
As to not accepting expansion of Medicaid for people who fall between the current Medicaid cut-off and the ACA bottom level: the excuse that republicans use that even though it will cost the state zero initially, and eventually only 10% – they just don’t believe the feds will continue with what they promised – well, just ask them if they would personally turn down $1000 this year and subsequent years only because they were afraid it wouldn’t continue.
Agreed. The two smartest things Democratic voters can do is to continue to call it Obamacare and, of course, vote. I always envision an elderly Obama out on the campaign trail in, say, Texas in 2030 stumping for a Democrat in tough reelection or close election to defeat a GOP incumbent. I imagine him saying something like, “The Republicans say they’re going to protect Obamacare. Well, I’m Obama, the law’s named after me because I’m the president who signed it. So, let me tell you what those Republicans did to keep Obamacare from you…” This is a torch that Malia and Sasha can pick up after he’s too old to do it or gone on to the next life. Why in the world would we give that up?
BTW, Michael Steele, as in former RNC chairman, was just on TV exclusively referring to Obamacare as “the ACA” and saying he didn’t think touting Obamacare repeal alone would win the Senate.
O< Quack! Quack! … CVilleDem…
Great to see a friendly long time TPM friend from way way back…
Just yesterday I posted the following over in the TPM Prime/Hive threads.
Positive Effects… Bottom line . . .
The following line is what should be touted…
20.6 million more people have
stable health care coverage.
Its not only the 7.5 million who signed up for Qualified Health Plans in the market places, but also the 13.1 million of those who acquired policies through direct purchase of private Qualified Health Plans, plus Medicaid/CHIP, in addition to young adults through their parents’ employers plans.
All told that’s … 20.6 million.
~OGD~